Wednesday, April 20, 2011

Christopher's Blue Collar Lunch Pail Pick

  Baseball is 15 games into its season, and we aren't even 10% into it yet. I bring this up to point out how much a grind the season is. We look at the standings, and find preseason favorites like the Boston Red Sox and Chicago White Sox at the bottom or near the bottom of their divisions. Some people are already jumping ship on these teams, and it is beginning to reflect it in betting patterns and in the lines themselves. Sports betting is a lot like a baseball season. You are going to have win streaks, and losing streaks. The idea is to be ahead at the end of the season to show a profit. I am a grinder, and blue collar player as you may. I will have weeks I am average, but some weeks I will look invincible. Like the aforementioned teams, we know it is a long season, and with the proper focus and resolve, we will end up far enough on top that popping open champagne and celebrating will be in order!

    Today, I am instilling that grinding method of handicapping into my free play of the day. Other cappers may give you a -170 favorite as their pick. I feel my followers deserve VALUE in their plays. Today I have a +150 pick that should put smiles on my followers faces and money in their wallets. The Arizona Diamondbacks are facing the Cincinnati Reds tonight, and I uncovered a couple of facts that made me feel Arizona +150 is the play. Cincinnati is 1-8 in their last 9 games as a favorite. That stat should be unsettling for a team that is the early on favorite to win their weak division. Ian Kennedy takes the mound for Arizona, and while that may not sound like a good reason to jump on the Diamondbacks, keep in mind the guy last year had an ERA under 4.00 for the season. Arroyo, who has been a workhorse for Cincinnati, is a pitcher who will give you 7 durable innings. The thing is, he does give up hits. Put two pitchers on the mound that are comparable in style and makeup, and a +150 line begins to look good. Like I said in my blog 2 days ago. Underdogs DO win in baseball. Don't be scared of the big numbers! Jump on my back guys, and I'll get you through this work day! My FREE PLAY OF THE DAY is Arizona +150.

0-3-0  -335 Units


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